
futurist, author of The Genesis Machine, AI and technology forecasting circuit
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Follow Amy Webb— it's freeWhat happens if your internet provider gets the blame for what you download? This week, the panel unpacks a billion-dollar copyright battle at the Supreme Court that could upend how we all use the web. Justice Alito Makes The Most Sense, Or This Week At The Supreme Court In The Cox-Sony Copyright Case First Porn, Now Skin Cream? 'Age Verification' Bills Are Out of These new FDA-approved glasses promise to slow nearsightedness in kids. Here's how they work Amazon Tests U.S. Ultrafast Delivery Offering What the heck is going on at Apple? | CNN Business Meta's Zuckerberg Plans Deep Cuts for Metaverse Efforts Meta acquires AI device startup Limitless Instagram mandates total return to office for employees in 2026 Is Netflix Trying to Buy Warner Bros. or Kill It? - Slashdot School Cell Phone Bans and Student Achievement RoboCop statue rises in Detroit: 'Big, beautiful, bronze piece of art' People who talk with their hands seem clearer, more persuasive - Fast Company (a petition to cancel Twitter's trademark for abandonment) Host: Leo Laporte Guests: Amy Webb , Cathy Gellis , and Brian Woolf Download or subscribe to This Week in Tech at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-tech Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: miro.com expressvpn.com/twit bitwarden.com/twit ZipRecruiter.com/twit canary.tools/twit - use code: TWIT
【本集節目由 哈佛管理年會 贊助播出】 :: 哈佛談趨勢 :: 本週,HBR特別企畫 #嚴選Thinkers50名人堂 系列。 在當今瞬息萬變的世界中,科技進步帶來了無數機會,也引發了許多未知和挑戰。我們該如何預判未來? 今天,我們針對「趨勢」主題,介紹重量級講者艾美.韋伯 Amy Webb。她如何利用龐大的數據分析來預測趨勢,識別潛在的機會與風險,幫助企業和個人在未來的競爭中保持領先? 想了解更多,歡迎參加 2024/9/4 於台北舉辦的《哈佛商業評論》全球繁體中文版管理高峰會,當天直接隆重邀請到 Amy Webb 親自為您講解「AI浪潮下的策略遠見」! 👉相關文章請見〈 艾美.韋伯:我們無法預測明天,但可以「量化未來」 〉 https://hbrtw.cc/SzLn6 . 💡艾美.韋伯 Amy Webb 小檔案💡 紐約大學史登商學院 策略前瞻教授 量化未來學家 Thinkers 50:2017首度獲雷達獎、2021、2023 《富比士》雜誌選為「全球形塑未來女性」 未來今日研究所(Future Today Institute, FTI)創辦人 . 【倒數50席】2024哈佛管理年會,搶先預訂▸ https://hbrtw.cc/ivZR4 ✨為什麼你該報名參加? #掌握趨勢 雙大師領航國際思維新視野 #備戰未來 第一手AI產業觀察,開啟企業新動能 #實戰落地 AI產業先驅現身說法,分享導入典範 . 💡 如果你喜歡我們的節目,歡迎贊助我們 https://hbrtw.cc/QsQy4 💡 聽得不過癮?立即註冊會員免費閱讀全文 (會員每月免費讀三篇) https://hbrtw.cc/DZ8Vm 💡 歡迎留言給瑪利社長與製作團隊 https://hbrtw.cc/DJ2F2 💭 瑪利社長Facebook粉絲專頁 https://www.facebook.com/gvm.hbrcc.mary/ 📩 業務配合邀約請來信|hsuanjung@cwgv.com.tw . 前往官網、管理地圖、臉書、IG、Line,了解更多《哈佛商業評論》。 本集內容由《哈佛商業評論》全球繁體中文版製作播出,禁止任何未經授權之重製(含公開分享與課程運用、引用)歡迎至網站購買內容、或聯繫hbrtaiwan@cwgv.com.tw提出合作想法。 -- Hosting provided by SoundOn
The Signals Are Talking: Why Today's Fringe Is Tomorrow's Mainstream (Amy Webb) Buy on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B06XKC3PCW?tag=9natree-20 Read more: https://mybook.top/read/B06XKC3PCW/ #trendforecasting #futureprediction #AmyWebb #CIPHERmethodology #fringesignals #innovation #strategicplanning #emergingtrends #TheSignalsAreTalking These are takeaways from this book. Firstly, Understanding Signals and Trend Forecasting, Amy Webb opens the book by detailing the importance of recognizing signals, which are often dismissed as noise or outliers, in trend forecasting. She deftly explains how these signals, when analyzed correctly, can predict shifts in society, technology, economy, and politics. Webb provides readers with a foundation on how to distinguish between a true signal and mere noise. This section empowers readers with the knowledge to identify emerging trends by observing innovations and changes at the fringes of society and technology. It's about understanding the undercurrents that precede major shifts and how to strategically position oneself or one's business to benefit from these emerging trends. Secondly, The Six Forces That Influence the Future, One of the book’s key frameworks involves the six forces that Webb argues are consistently driving change and shaping the future: wealth distribution, education, government, geopolitics, public health, and environmental issues. For each force, Webb provides insights into how they currently influence trends and how they are likely to continue doing so. She uses current and historical data to show how these forces interact with each other, often in complex ways, to push certain trends to the forefront. This topic not only helps readers gain a deeper understanding of the broader context in which trends emerge but also encourages them to consider multiple perspectives when analyzing potential futures. Thirdly, The CIPHER Methodology, A central part of 'The Signals Are Talking' is Webb’s introduction to the CIPHER methodology, a systematic approach she developed for predicting the future. CIPHER stands for Contradictions, Inflections, Practices, Hacks, Extremes, and Rarities. This method teaches readers to look for these specific types of signals in the world around them, aiding in the prediction of which emerging trends will take hold. Webb provides practical tips and real-world examples of how to apply each element of the CIPHER method to everyday observations, making it an invaluable tool for anyone looking to get ahead of the curve. Fourthly, Case Studies: From Fringe to Mainstream, Amy Webb illustrates her methodologies and theories with diverse and compelling case studies that span industries and topics. These examples help readers understand how fringe signals evolved into mainstream phenomena. From the rise of cryptocurrency to the proliferation of personal DNA testing, Webb dissect´s these trends´ journeys from the margins to the masses. Each case study unpacks the initial signals, the factors that drove their expansion, and the impact they have had on society. This section not only validates Webb's strategies for trend forecasting but also serves as a practical guide for applying these lessons to anticipate future trends. Lastly, Preparing for the Future, The final section of 'The Signals Are Talking' shifts focus towards practical advice for applying the insights and methodologies from the earlier chapters. Webb discusses the importance of agility, openness to innovation, and strategic planning for both individuals and organizations. She encourages readers to proactively consider the future impact of current trends, both globally and in their industries, and to develop strategies to navigate or even shape these trends. This topic is crucial for ensuring readers not just understand how to identify and analyze signals but also take actionable steps towards futur
No proximo episódio do Trends News 119, falamos a respeito do Report de Amy Webb do SXSW 2024, explorando as previsões e análises futurísticas que estão definindo as trajetórias de tecnologia, negócios e cultura. Amy Webb, renomada futurista e autora, compartilha suas perspectivas e insights sobre as últimas tendências emergentes do festival South by Southwest (SXSW), um dos principais eventos globais para as indústrias criativas e de tecnologia. Neste episódio, Anna Flavia, como moderadora, acompanhada de Nai Correa, Paulo Muniz, Charles Schweitzer, Professor Alberti e Rafael Velosos vão discutir os principais destaques do relatório de Webb, incluindo as inovações tecnológicas que prometem revolucionar diversos setores, desde inteligência artificial até sustentabilidade e saúde digital.
Bring Future Back to Strategy! In this episode, we bring you an exclusive interview with Amy Webb, a renowned futurist and bestselling author. Webb's foresight agency, the Future Today Institute, published its yearly trend report last week. Amy Webb claims that foresight and future thinking have vanished from strategies — and the consequences are devastating. If the focus of CEOs is on the revenue of the next quarters, opportunities for creating new growth diminish, Webb says. Webb also discusses the promise of AI and the societal risks of disinformation.
No one can predict the future, but quantitative futurist Amy Webb is doing her best. In this episode of WorkLab , Webb shares the most plausible outcomes for what the future looks like with AI and what business leaders can do today to make sure their organizations are set up for success. Webb is the first guest for season 5 of the WorkLab podcast, in which host Molly Wood has conversations with economists, technologists, and researchers who explore the data and insights into why and how work is changing. WorkLab Molly Wood [host] Amy Webb [guest]
"I yelled at my kids again and I felt so guilty. I wish my kids could listen without me having to yell." These are among the most common parenting struggles I hear. I'm happy to have with us today Dr. Amy Webb, founder of Thoughtful Parent and a Ph.D. in human development and family science, and we'll talk about this huge question - How can we discipline our kids without yelling? After listening to this episode, don't forget to grab these wonderful resources: The Discerning Parenting Toolkit includes quick guides and common questions such as handling tantrums and building language skills of toddlers. Get doable strategies to use even IF you're not the most patient person with Dr. Amy's FREE guide, Discipline Without Yelling . Visit Dr. Amy Webb's website - www.thoughtfulparent.com/ Get to know our guest, Amy Webb, Ph.D.: Dr. Amy Webb is a parenting writer who is passionate about bringing child development research into the lives of parents so they can use it to inform their decision-making. In her writing, she brings together her research background as well as real-life experience as a mom to two rambunctious boys. When she’s not reading (parenting books or mystery novels) she enjoys hiking, cooking, and watching her sons play hours and hours of baseball. ⭐ Our book Learning by Heart: Teach Your Child to Read, Stress-Free is now on Amazon! Click here to learn more about Dr. Victoria Nolasco's books. ⭐ Check out our FREE Discerning Parenting Toolkit and Resource Library . ⭐ Find out more about our on-demand courses to guide you through parenting challenges . 🎖️Discerning Parenting is now one of the TOP 20 PARENTING PODCASTS on Feedspot ! The Discerning Parenting Podcast is a free informational resource for parents. As a valued listener, you acknowledge that any information you get from this podcast is for your general guidance only, and must never be considered a substitute for the advice provided by a doctor, therapist, or other qualified medical professionals who know your child specifically. Read our full disclaimer policy here.
We kick off Season 4 bravely with the visionary Amy Webb, Quantitative Futurist, CEO of the Future Today Institute, professor at NYU and author. In this episode, as in Amy’s book The Genesis Machine, we discuss the paths towards synthetic futures and the methods in creating more credible focus on the long term future. Amy speaks to her journey coming into the "esoteric" field of futures, from a fact-based background in economics and journalism. Fortuitously, she meandered on the rocky path to foresight, from a pragmatic background that fuels her drive to make foresight more impactful. Passionate about the need for foresight, now more than ever before, Amy describes the fourth era of foresight we are in, the actioning era as she calls it, driven by technology. This comes after three eras of extrapolation and imagining, calculation and war gaming and most recently (or currently, for many futurists), design fiction and crafting future alternatives. The mission to move foresight from government to corporations effectively is one Amy feels is leveraging ineffective tools; ones that don’t lean enough on data and mathematical modeling. This has led to a dilution of foresight’s impact and deluded futurists. Jo and Amy discuss ways to create changed mindsets and commitment to action in businesses, moving beyond inspiring to problem solving. It’s a contentious topic in the field of foresight, which is still largely government-integrated and academic, to move past creative extrapolation through scenarios, to mathematically driven models of the future. (A perspective Amy has copped some flack for.) Amy then takes us into the future, and the topic of the latest book she co-authored with Andrew Hessel, The Genesis Machine, explaining how over 13 years of researching AI she noticed something profound happening in the synthetic biology space. General purpose technologies have the potential to fundamentally alter society and impact the economy, like electricity and the internet have, and while Amy concedes scaling it is a ‘ways off’, we should be paying attention, and planning for synthetic biology to act as the next generative purpose technology – transforming medicine, the environment and our food systems. -- To look outside , Amy goes outside where cycling helps clear her busy mind. A familiar face on the conference circuit, Amy also makes a point to attend and learn from conferences and events that have nothing to do with her role or field of expertise. This broadening of perspective brings both a chance to learn and to gather surprising new topics to research. -- Founder and CEO of the Future Today Institute (FTI) , Amy Webb pioneered a data-driven foresight methodology that is now used within hundreds of organizations worldwide. She built FTI into one of America’s fastest-growing companies –– FTI has been ranked on the Inc 5000 list for two consecutive years. Amy helps CXOs of the world’s-admired companies achieve long-term growth, and she shows businesses how to spot disruption early enough to create new revenue or to mitigate risk. Amy also advises the leadership of government, military and central banks on risk and opportunity. Amy Webb was named by Forbes as one of the five women changing the world, listed as the BBC’s 100 Women of 2020, and in 2021 was ranked on the Thinkers50 list of the 50 most influential management thinkers globally. Her latest book, The Genesis Machine , explores the futures of synthetic biology. Learn more about Amy: https://amywebb.io Check out the foresight tools from <a href="https://futu
Amy Webb is a quantitative futurist and a bestselling, award-winning author. She is a professor of strategic foresight at the NYU Stern School of Business and the Founder of the Future Today Institute, a leading foresight and strategy firm that helps leaders and their organizations prepare for complex futures. Amy has advised CEOs and heads of strategy of some of the world’s largest companies, three-star generals and admirals and executive government leadership on strategy and technology. She was also a Delegate on the former U.S.- Russia Bilateral Presidential Commission, where she worked on the future of technology, media and international diplomacy. She is the author of several popular books, including The Big Nine: How the Tech Titans and Their Thinking Machines Could Warp Humanity , which was longlisted for the Financial Times & McKinsey Business Book of the Year award, shortlisted for the Thinkers50 Digital Thinking Award, and won the 2020 Gold Axiom Medal for the best book about business and technology. She also wrote The Signals Are Talking: Why Today’s Fringe Is Tomorrow’s Mainstream , which won the Thinkers50 Radar Award, was selected as one of Fast Company’s Best Books of 2016, Amazon’s best books 2016, and was the recipient of the 2017 Gold Axiom Medal for the best book about business and technology. Amy was named by Forbes as one of the five women changing the world, listed as the BBC’s 100 Women of 2020, and the Thinkers50 Radar list of the 30 management thinkers most likely to shape the future of how organizations are managed and led. In this podcast, she shares: Why we should be doing 'back-casting' rather than forecasting Why strategizing for the future is NOT about predicting it, but instead about shifting your mindset to be prepared for the future’s uncertainty Some practical advice about who should be doing the kind of future planning work that that is so critical for today for any organization that wants to remain relevant __________________________________________________________________________________________ "If you're on a three-year strategic planning cycle, typically...you're marking milestones and KPIs...on that corporate strategy. The problem is that it doesn't account for uncertainty. This is where a lot of companies fall short, and they don't have the ability to recalibrate. So I do not use a line, I use a cone it's a different shape. So the intersecting vectors where that cone begins on the left that represents today. And the further out in time, you go, the wider, the angle becomes on the inside of that cone. And that represents uncertainty over time." -Amy Webb __________________________________________________________________________________________ Episode Timeline: 00:00 —Introducing Amy + The topic of today’s episode 2:10 —What is your definition of strategy? 3:32 —A model for thinking about time and foresight 6:05 —What's a tip or go-strategy for getting people to appreciate the importance of thinking of long-term horizons? 8:15 —Could you explain the difference between predicting the future vs. being ready for many possible futures. Could you explain the difference? 10:22 —Using data and evidence to model out plausible next-order impacts 12:24 —The term and history of the futurist 13:50 —Could you describe your work in synthetic biology? 17:16 —You mentioned that synthetic biology will become as commonplace a term as AI, could you explain how other industries could be affected that seem unrelated? 19:27 —Do you have any other tips for how people can learn more about this topic? </ul
Amy Webb joins Leo Laporte to discuss her new book, "The Genesis Machine." Webb explains synthetic biology, tells the story of golden rice, and shares a glimpse of the future and the changes we can expect. Get "The Genesis Machine": https://amzn.to/3BC7K2t Host: Leo Laporte Guest: Amy Webb Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/triangulation .
Amy Webb joins Leo Laporte to discuss her new book, "The Genesis Machine." Webb explains synthetic biology, tells the story of golden rice, and shares a glimpse of the future and the changes we can expect. Get "The Genesis Machine": https://amzn.to/3BC7K2t Host: Leo Laporte Guest: Amy Webb Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/triangulation .
Amy Webb joins Leo Laporte to discuss her new book, "The Genesis Machine." Webb explains synthetic biology, tells the story of golden rice, and shares a glimpse of the future and the changes we can expect. Get "The Genesis Machine": https://amzn.to/3BC7K2t Host: Leo Laporte Guest: Amy Webb Download or subscribe to this show at https://twit.tv/shows/twit-events . Get episodes ad-free with Club TWiT at https://twit.tv/clubtwit