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Follow Liam Donovan— it's freeCo-hosts Josh Zive, Dylan Pasiuk, and Paul Nathanson welcome back Liam Donovan—fresh off his appearance on Ezra Klein’s podcast—to break down the 2026 midterm landscape. The discussion includes each party’s path to a majority with a spotlight on key races, the importance of candidate quality, President Trump’s approach to endorsements, and what it all could mean for the legislative agenda in the final stretch of the current Congress.
We're not just liberal hacks -- we're regular hacks too. We invite GOP Strategist Liam Donovan INTO THE PAIN CAVE to give us a sense of how Republicans are viewing the state of affairs. He shares why libs are getting ahead of themselves anticipating the fall of JD Vance, whether or not Republican pronouncements about big wins in the fall are just cope, and why everything he sees on the Democratic side is starting to rhyme with Republicans' recent history. We set this conversation up less to be a debate and more a swapping of notes. We learned a lot, and we hope you do too. CHAPTERS: 00:03:08 - The future of the GOP 00:32:26 - 2028 Whiparound 00:53:37 - Congress 01:08:36 - Midterms 01:20:42 - Maine Senate 01:28:39 - Redistricting scorecard Subscribe to the Nobody Knows Anything Youtube Channel Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Instagram. Follow Nobody Knows Anything on Twitter (X??) Follow Rob on Twitter and Jesse on Twitter Email us at whatsup@Nobodyknows.wtf
Sixteen days into the government shutdown, the American people aren't feeling the effects. Should Democrats be worried? Is their strategy working? What's their exit strategy? Grover Norquist is joined by political strategist Liam Donovan and ATR's Mike Palicz to break down how Democrats' $1.5 trillion in new spending demands have fallen flat, how the media landscape has changed shutdown politics, and what redistricting could mean for control of Congress in the years ahead. About Liam Donovan: Liam joins Targeted Victory as the head of the firm's Risk & Reputation practice. Over the course of two decades working at the intersection of politics and policy, he has held senior roles at a national trade association and a global law and lobbying firm. Before beginning his advocacy career, Liam spent four years and two election cycles on the staff of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. Check out Liam Donovan's own podcast, The Lobby Shop , where he dives deeper into the intersection of politics, policy, and the people shaping Washington.
In this inaugural episode, we dive deep into the aftermath of the "One Big Beautiful Bill" and what it means for America's energy future. After years of massive, partisan energy packages—from the Democrats' Inflation Reduction Act to the Republicans' recent reconciliation bill—the U.S. finds itself without a clear long-term energy vision. What just happened? Where does this leave us? And where are we going? Liam Donovan, President, Risk & Reputation Practice at Targeted Victory, and Yogin Kothari, Chief Strategy Officer at SEMA (Solar Energy Manufacturers for America Coalition), join our hosts, Thomas Hochman (Foundation for American Innovation) & Pavan Venkatakrishnan (Institute for Progress).
The House and Senate return following the passage of a CR, and the next thing on the table is a return to budget reconciliation negotiations. Brendan Buck and Annalyse Keller are joined by Liam Donovan, senior political strategist at Bracewell, to talk about where discussions stand, what obstacles remain, and how long this thing may take. Plus what happened with the Democrats on the CR vote, the firestorm its created, and how they try to move forward. Hosts: Brendan Buck and Annalyse Keller Guest: Liam Donovan Producer: Benji Englander Second producer: Regina Anderson Articles Mentioned: Axios: Behind the Curtain: Dems' dark, deep hole Axios: "They hate us": Democrats confront their own Tea Party The New York Times Opinion: There’s a Price for Promising What Isn’t Possible in Congress The Atlantic: The Trump Administration Accidentally Texted Me Its War Plans
Trump talked a lot more about Hannibal Lecter during the campaign than one of his actual top priorities: extending his 2017 tax cuts. With those $4.5 trillion in cuts set to expire by the end of the year, that's the first major item of business for congressional Republicans. But how they get paid for will affect people's lives. Tim takes a deep dive into the reconciliation process that would allow Republicans to make deep cuts to programs without having to work with Democrats. Plus, the billionaire plutocrats staffing the new administration and the potential for corruption. Rep. Brendan Boyle and Liam Donovan join Tim Miller.
Tara is joined by Republican political strategist Liam Donovan to discuss the state of the presidential race after last week’s debate. They take a hard look at which direction the critical swing states are currently leaning, shine a light on the latest attacks on Vice President Harris from Team Trump, and talk about how the latest apparent assassination attempt on Trump is registering with voters. For more of Tara’s reporting, please sign up for her newsletter, 'The Best and the Brightest,' at puck.news/tarapalmeri and use the discount code TARA20. Host: Tara Palmeri Guest: Liam Donovan Producer: Chris Sutton Production Supervision: Conor Nevins Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Both major parties have their tickets set for the 2024 Presidential Election. But on the eve of the Democratic National Convention, what does the polling tell us about the state of the race today? Senior Political Strategist with Bracewell LLP Liam Donovan discusses what issues and voter demographics will decide November’s election. Liam and Dana look at both the electoral map and the Senate map to examine how competitive races are playing out across the country. Later, they discuss the media's bias toward Vice President Harris despite her lack of interviews on the campaign trail. Uphill Battle: With early voting beginning in less than a month, Democrats have been focused on their 'get out the vote' efforts. Liam emphasizes that former President Trump must unwind some of his old rhetoric or else Republicans might hurt themselves with turnout. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Tune in to this special edition of The Lobby Shop which features an episode of Bracewell LLP's Environmental Law Monitor podcast, as they interview our own Liam Donovan and Joe Brazauskas. In a special crossover episode between The Lobby Shop and the Environmental Law Monitor, Bracewell associates Daniel Pope and Taylor Stuart sit down with PRG's Liam Donovan and Joe Brazauskas to do a deep dive on the Congressional Review Act (CRA), a powerful tool that has the Biden administration scrambling to finalize its regulatory proposals ahead of electoral uncertainty.
In this special episode, Talking with One Voice combines efforts with Bracewell's The Lobby Shop podcast to produce a one-of-a-kind episode analyzing the prospects for the Tax Relief for American Families and Workers Act of 2024 that contains the reinstatement of R&D expensing, 179 expensing and other important provisions for manufacturers long lobbied for by PMA and NTMA's advocacy team in DC. The episode features One Voice's Omar Nashashibi and The Lobby Shop's Liam Donovan, two of the best political tax policy analysts in the business. They go back and forth, taking a deep dive into what to watch with bicameral tax framework. You'll also hear some familiar voices as Paul Nathanson and Caitlin Sickles are co-hosts on both shows.
Send us a text Liam Donovan , a principal at Bracewell and longtime insider and observer of the Hill GOP, returns to weigh in on a chaotic couple of weeks in the House - including the surprise sidestepping of a government shutdown, the toppling of Speaker Kevin McCarthy, and the budding race to fill his shoes. In this conversation, Liam talks the factors that led to McCarthy's ouster, how House Democrats could've "saved" him (and why they didn't), how he's thinking about the nascent race to be the next Speaker, a check-in on the '24 GOP presidential primary & more. IN THIS EPISODE Liam’s take on the 9-month tenure of Speaker McCarthy… Liam’s biggest surprises in the saga of the toppling of Kevin McCarthy… Why the CR to keep the government open both antagonized GOP rebels while alienating House Democrats… Why Democrats might have chosen to “save" McCarthy…and why they didn’t… How Liam is looking at the Jordan vs. Scalise battle for Speaker… Liam on the possibility of a McCarthy Restoration… Why acting-Speaker Patrick McHenry could be a default longer-term option… A couple members of the GOP conference who Liam thinks will be predictive of who emerges from the fight for Speaker… Liam on a possible shutdown after the 45-day CR elapses… The path forward for additional funding of Ukraine… Liam’s latest take on Trump’s strength in the GOP presidential primary and the campaigns of Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley… AND big bargaining chips, catching the fly, Wile E. Coyote, the debt limit crisis, Diet Trump, discharge petitions, evil-genius super villains, Brian Fitzpatrick, the Freedom Caucus, the Gaetz 8, the Full Ginsberg, Lindsay Graham, gratuitous shutdowns, Garret Graves, Ben Jacobs, Hakeem Jeffries, jousting with totems, Mitch McConnell, nihilism, AOC, Nancy Pelosi, Politico, procedural blockades, Punchbowl, The Republican Study Committee, revocable non-support, tipping points, Glenn Youngkin…& more!
While lawmakers argued over the federal budget, our national debt passed $33 trillion dollars this week. On this week’s roundup, host Ron Steslow and guests Liam Donovan (Principal at Bracewell LLP), Andy Kroll (Investigative Reporter at ProPublica), and Romina Boccia (Director of Budget and Entitlement Policy at the Cato Institute) discuss why it’s significant and break down the fighting within the Republican party as they argue over a budget. Then they break down how the auto worker strike has Joe Biden caught between two key democratic constituencies They also discuss the migrant crisis in New York City and how it’s growing rifts in the Democratic party Finally, they look at Biden’s defiance in the wake of a Federal Appeals Court ruling that said his Administration likely violated the First Amendment and his campaign’s alarming move to combat what it’s calling “political misinformation.” Segments to look forward to: (02:40) The Debt and the Budget fight (31:31) The United Auto Workers Strike (46:00) New York City Migrant Crisis [Politicology+] The Biden 2024 campaign’s alarming move to combat what it’s calling “political misinformation.” Politicology+ is our private, ad-free version of this podcast, with subscriber-only episodes, strategy, and analysis. To join us there, visit politicology.com/plus or subscribe in Apple Podcasts. Follow this week’s panel on X (formerly Twitter): https://twitter.com/RonSteslow https://twitter.com/LPDonovan https://twitter.com/AndyKroll https://twitter.com/RominaBoccia Related reading: Segment 1: NYT— U.S. National Debt Tops $33 Trillion for First Time Cato— Don’t Let the Government‐Shutdown Charade Distract You From the Debt Crisis Axios— GOP defectors sink McCarthy's push to advance Pentagon funding NYT— Right-Wing House Republicans Derail Pentagon G.O.P. Bill, Rebuking McCarthy - The New York Times The Hill— McConnell: Government shutdowns are ‘a loser for Republicans’ | The Hill Segment 2: WP— Biden aides try to quell tension with UAW as Trump plans Detroit trip - The Washington Post Politico— ‘Trump scooped us’: Dems sound alarm on Biden’s handling of the auto worker strike - POLITICO Politico— Autoworkers lash out at Biden in the UAW president’s hometown - POLITICO Segment 3: NYT— In Escalation, Adams Says Migrant Crisis 'Will Destroy New York City' WSJ— Why Biden’s Border Policies Aren’t Working - WSJ WP— Opinion | On immigration, Democrats should admit they are wrong - The Washingto
Send us a text Liam Donovan , a principal at Bracewell PRG, is a regular presence on cable news , in print, and on twitter as an expert explainer of what's going on in Congress and in the Republican Party. With a background both in GOP campaign politics and government relations, Liam's expertise on the intersection of politics and policy gives him tremendous insight to distill what really matters in Washington from the rest of the Beltway din. In this conversation, we talk Liam's path to politics, his time in GOP campaigns, his shift to government relations, and get his insights into the chaos of last week's (eventual) ascent of Kevin McCarthy as House Speaker...what to expect from Congress over the next two years...and his early takes on Trump vs. DeSantis '24 & the future of the Republican Party. IN THIS EPISODE Liam’s upbringing as a Navy Brat who went to high school in DC… Liam’s stint working in GOP politics and at the NRSC… The iconic GOP Senator Liam served as an aide to at the Senate committee… Liam’s shift to government relations and lobbying… Liam’s initial take on the chaotic House GOP process to anoint Kevin McCarthy as Speaker… Liam on why it was probably inevitable for McCarthy to cave to the hard-right members… Liam unpacks how McCarthy peeled off the different factions to earn the Speaker’s gavel… Why the GOP center-right members never wavered for McCarthy… Liam on why there was never a real chance of a few Republicans working with Democrats to elect a coalition Speaker… Liam's thoughts on the risk McCarthy could be deposed mid-term… The Trump impact on the Speaker’s race and the Trump-McCarthy relationship… Liam analyzes the CLF / Freedom Caucus “truce”… Liam’s insight on what to expect on the debt ceiling… Liam’s early handicapping of Trump vs DeSantis 2024… The origin story of Liam’s unusual twitter profile photo… Liam shouts out one of his favorite twitter accounts… AND AOL IM, almost congresspersons, Justin Amash, beating the previous question, Bill Bennett, Joe Biden, Lauren Boebert, John Boehner, John Bolton, Bracewell PRG, Scott Brown, Al Bundy, Alex Burns, George W. Bush, the CLF, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, John Cornyn, Tom Cotton, Eli Crane, Ted Cruz, determined rumps, David Dewhurst, discharge petitions, Empower America, John Ensign, Al Franken, the Freedom Caucus, frozen budgets, Matt Gaetz, Georgetown, getting your teeth kicked in, Bob Good, Al Gore, Maggie Haberman, Nikki Haley, Andy Harris, Orrin Hatch, hot mic moments, Amo Houghton, Wesley Hunt, Hakeem Jeffries, Jim Jordan, Jack Kemp, kissing the ring, Mike Lee, letter-writing campaigns, Morgan Luttrell, Joe Manchin, Mar-a-Lago, Jonathan Martin, max-out donors, Ted McGinley, Mark Meadows, the meaty middle, Mitch McConnell, Tim Miller, non-privileged motions, Nancy Pelosi, Scott Peters, Scott Perry, Politico Pro, Mike Pompeo, the precipice of failure, Punchbowl, Ringwiss, Mike Rogers, Chip Roy, Paul Ryan, Rick Santelli, Pete Sessions, shoe-leather lobbying, shooting down the rule, the side of chaos, Aaron Sorkin, Arlen Specter, the Sword of Damocles, Marjorie Taylor Greene, turning the screws, the Trevor Project, Truth Social, trust deficits, the Uniparty, Fred Upton, West Wing story arcs & more!
Our podcast guest is Liam Donovan, a Principal at Bracewell LLP and certified "bluecheck" commentator on national politics. Liam and Brian discuss the latest K Street rumors of a resurrected Build Back Better Act, how the Twitter-sphere helped debunk the "plan" and why, despite all this, it's still too early to declare the effort dead. Liam also shares his thoughts this week's primaries and lays down his predictions for the House and Senate this fall. We close out with a trip down Hoyas basketball memory lane, a harsh critique of Maryland drivers, and a movie recommendation.
We're back and jumping into the deep end to kick off a new year of podcasting! Liam Donovan and Anna Burhop, members of APR's DC advocacy team at Bracewell's Policy Resolution Group, join your host Steve Alexander to discuss how the 117th Congress' roster will impact recycling policy and how APR can continue to advocate for meaningful, bipartisan support for recycling in 2021 and beyond.
We're back with an excellent interview diving into what the current results of the 2020 election mean for the near future of plastic recycling. Liam Donovan and Anna Burhop, members of APR's DC lobbying team at the Bracewell's Policy Resolution Group, join to discuss the ins and outs of the 2020 election, insights on the Georgia runoffs, and what the results mean for policies and regulations that impact the plastic recycling industry.
Self-described “GOP Operative Turned Advocate and Political Observer” Liam Donovan joins the podcast to handicap the 2020 election. Who is going to win Florida, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Iowa, and the rest? Are we seeing a shift in the electorate or is this a temporary realignment? Also, how many Senate races could be headed to a run-off. This is the last episode before the election, so buckle up! It’s going to be fun!
Liam Donovan of the Policy Resolution Group is back on the podcast to talk Iowa, New Hampshire, and who doesn’t make it to Super Tuesday. We also discuss the entrance of Michael Bloomberg and his billions into the race, as well as why Florida probably won’t deliver a knock-out blow like it did for the GOP in its 2016 primary.
Veteran political analyst Liam Donovan (@LPDonovan )joins the podcast from Washington DC where Congress is on recess, the President is on Twitter, and the Georgetown University Hoyas are getting ready for another season on the hardwood. Donovan works at a DC government relations and strategic communications firm, but his resume includes four years working to get Republicans elected to the US Senate. In this episode we’ll talk impeachment, the shifting Midwest states, shifting sunbelt states, what Trump needs to do in 2020 to win, is the Democratic field weak or strong, and what happens if the electoral college ends up at 269-269? http://lpdonovan.com/about/
Zionsville Eagles Freshman, Liam Donovan joins the show to breakdown the Indiana State Championship Weekend! Thanks to our sponsors, All Black Hockey Sticks, Syck Hockey Apparel, and Styner Sports Training! Enjoy the show!